OPTN/SRTR 2021 Annual Data Report: COVID-19.

This chapter updates the COVID-19 chapter from the 2020 Annual Data Report with trends through February 12, 2022, and introduces trends in COVID-19-specific cause of death on the waiting list and posttransplant. Transplant rates remain at or above prepandemic levels for all organs, indicating a sustained transplantation system recovery following the initial 3-month disruption due to the onset of the pandemic. Posttransplant mortality and graft failure remain a concern in all organs, with rates surging corresponding to waves of the pandemic. Waitlist mortality due to COVID-19 is also a concern, particularly among kidney candidates. While the recovery of the transplantation system has been sustained in the second year of the pandemic, ongoing efforts should focus on reducing posttransplant and waitlist mortality due to COVID-19, and graft failure.

OPTN/SRTR 2021 Annual Data Report: Kidney.

The year 2021 marked both successes and challenges for the field of kidney transplantation, in the context of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and broader geographic organ distribution. The total number of kidney transplants in the United States reached a record count of 25,487, driven by growth in deceased donor kidney transplants. The total number of candidates listed for deceased donor kidney transplant rose slightly in 2021 but remained below 2019 listing levels, with nearly 10% of candidates having been waiting 5 years or longer. Pretransplant mortality declined slightly among candidates of Black, Hispanic, and other races, in parallel with increasing numbers of Black and Hispanic transplant recipients. In the context of broader organ sharing, there is growing disparity in pretransplant mortality among non-metropolitan compared with metropolitan residents. The proportion of deceased donor kidneys recovered but not used for transplant (nonuse rate) rose to a high of 24.6% overall, with greater nonuse among biopsied kidneys (35.9%), kidneys from donors aged 55 years or older (51.1%), and kidneys with kidney donor profile index (KDPI) of 85% or greater (66.6%). Nonuse of kidneys from donors who are hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody positive only slightly exceeded that of HCV antibody-negative donors. Disparities in access to living donor kidney transplant persists, especially for non-White and publicly insured patients. Delayed graft function continues an upward trend and occurred in 24% of adult kidney transplants in 2021. Five-year graft survival after living compared with deceased donor transplant was 88.6% versus 80.7% for recipients aged 18-34 years, and 82.1% versus 68.0% for recipients aged 65 years or older. The total number of pediatric kidney transplants performed increased to 820 in 2021, the highest number since 2010. Despite numerous efforts, living donor kidney transplant remains low among pediatric recipients, with continued racial disparities. The rate of deceased donor transplants among pediatric candidates recovered in 2021 from a low in 2020. Congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract remain the leading primary kidney disease diagnosis among pediatric candidates. Most pediatric deceased donor recipients receive a kidney from a donor with KDPI less than 35%. Graft survival continues to improve, with superior outcomes for living donor transplant recipients.

OPTN/SRTR 2021 Annual Data Report: Pancreas.

The number of pancreas transplants in the United States was largely unchanged in 2021 at 963 transplants compared with 962 in 2020, showing that recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic was not as pronounced in pancreas transplantation as in other organs. The number of simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplants (SPKs) decreased from 827 to 820, whereas the number of pancreas-after-kidney transplants and pancreas transplants alone increased marginally to compensate. The proportion of patients with type 2 diabetes on the waiting list increased to 22.9% in 2021, compared with 20.1% in 2020. Consequently, the proportion of transplants in patients with type 2 diabetes increased from 21.3% in 2020 to 25.9% in 2021. The proportion of transplants in older recipients (aged 55 years or older) also increased to 13.5% in 2021 from 11.7% in 2020. Outcomes after SPK continue to be the best of the three categories of pancreas transplants: 1-year graft failure for kidney at 5.7% and pancreas at 10.5% for transplants performed in 2020. The proportion of pancreas transplants performed by medium-volume centers (11-24 transplants per year) increased sharply to 48.3% in 2021 from 35.1% in 2020, with a corresponding decrease in transplants in large-volume centers (25 or more transplants per year) to 15.9% in 2021 from 25.7% in 2020.

OPTN/SRTR 2021 Annual Data Report: Deceased Organ Donation.

The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients uses data collected by the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network to calculate metrics such as donation rate, organ yield, and rate of organs recovered for transplant but not transplanted (ie, nonuse). In 2021, there were 13,862 deceased donors, a 10.1% increase from 12,588 in 2020, and an increase from 11,870 in 2019; this number has been increasing since 2010. The number of deceased donor transplants increased to 41,346 transplants in 2021, a 5.9% increase from 39,028 in 2020; this number has been increasing since 2012. The increase may be due in part to the rising number of deaths of young people amid the ongoing opioid epidemic. The number of organs transplanted included 9,702 left kidneys, 9,509 right kidneys, 551 en bloc kidneys, 964 pancreata, 8,595 livers, 96 intestines, 3,861 hearts, and 2,443 lungs. Compared with 2019, transplants of all organs except lungs increased in 2021, which is remarkable as this occurred despite the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2021, 2,951 left kidneys, 3,149 right kidneys, 184 en bloc kidneys, 343 pancreata, 945 liver, 1 intestine, 39 hearts, and 188 lungs were not used. These numbers suggest an opportunity to increase numbers of transplants by reducing nonused organs. Despite the pandemic, there was no dramatic increase in number of nonused organs and there was an increase in total numbers of donors and transplants. The new Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services metrics for donation rate and transplant rate have also been described and vary across organ procurement organizations; the donation rate metric varied from 5.82 to 19.14 and the transplant rate metric varied from 18.7 to 60.0.

OPTN/SRTR 2021 Annual Data Report: COVID-19

This chapter updates the COVID-19 chapter from the 2020 Annual Data Report with trends through February 12, 2022, and introduces trends in COVID-19–specific cause of death on the waiting list and posttransplant. Transplant rates remain at or above prepandemic levels for all organs, indicating a sustained transplantation system recovery following the initial 3-month disruption due to the onset of the pandemic. Posttransplant mortality and graft failure remain a concern in all organs, with rates surging corresponding to waves of the pandemic. Waitlist mortality due to COVID-19 is also a concern, particularly among kidney candidates. While the recovery of the transplantation system has been sustained in the second year of the pandemic, ongoing efforts should focus on reducing posttransplant and waitlist mortality due to COVID-19, and graft failure.

OPTN/SRTR 2021 Annual Data Report: Kidney

The year 2021 marked both successes and challenges for the field of kidney transplantation, in the context of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and broader geographic organ distribution. The total number of kidney transplants in the United States reached a record count of 25,487, driven by growth in deceased donor kidney transplants. The total number of candidates listed for deceased donor kidney transplant rose slightly in 2021 but remained below 2019 listing levels, with nearly 10% of candidates having been waiting 5 years or longer. Pretransplant mortality declined slightly among candidates of Black, Hispanic, and other races, in parallel with increasing numbers of Black and Hispanic transplant recipients. In the context of broader organ sharing, there is growing disparity in pretransplant mortality among non-metropolitan compared with metropolitan residents. The proportion of deceased donor kidneys recovered but not used for transplant (nonuse rate) rose to a high of 24.6% overall, with greater nonuse among biopsied kidneys (35.9%), kidneys from donors aged 55 years or older (51.1%), and kidneys with kidney donor profile index (KDPI) of 85% or greater (66.6%). Nonuse of kidneys from donors who are hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody positive only slightly exceeded that of HCV antibody–negative donors. Disparities in access to living donor kidney transplant persists, especially for non-White and publicly insured patients. Delayed graft function continues an upward trend and occurred in 24% of adult kidney transplants in 2021. Five-year graft survival after living compared with deceased donor transplant was 88.6% versus 80.7% for recipients aged 18-34 years, and 82.1% versus 68.0% for recipients aged 65 years or older. The total number of pediatric kidney transplants performed increased to 820 in 2021, the highest number since 2010. Despite numerous efforts, living donor kidney transplant remains low among pediatric recipients, with continued racial disparities. The rate of deceased donor transplants among pediatric candidates recovered in 2021 from a low in 2020. Congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract remain the leading primary kidney disease diagnosis among pediatric candidates. Most pediatric deceased donor recipients receive a kidney from a donor with KDPI less than 35%. Graft survival continues to improve, with superior outcomes for living donor transplant recipients. Graphical Image 1

A high-resolution flux-matrix model describes the spread of diseases in a spatial network and the effect of mitigation strategies.

Propagation of an epidemic across a spatial network of communities is described by a variant of the SIR model accompanied by an intercommunity infectivity matrix. This matrix is estimated from fluxes between communities, obtained from cell-phone tracking data recorded in the USA between March 2020 and February 2021. We apply this model to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic by fitting just one global parameter representing the frequency of interaction between individuals. We find that the predicted infections agree reasonably well with the reported cases. We clearly see the effect of "shelter-in-place" policies introduced at the onset of the pandemic. Interestingly, a model with uniform transmission rates produces similar results, suggesting that the epidemic transmission was deeply influenced by air travel. We then study the effect of alternative mitigation policies, in particular restricting long-range travel. We find that this policy is successful in decreasing the epidemic size and slowing down the spread, but less effective than the shelter-in-place policy. This policy can result in a pulled wave of infections. We express its velocity and characterize the shape of the traveling front as a function of the epidemiological parameters. Finally, we discuss a policy of selectively constraining travel based on an edge-betweenness criterion.

Transplant program evaluations in the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Potential regional variations in effects of COVID-19 on federally mandated, program-specific evaluations by the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) have been controversial. SRTR January 2022 program evaluations ended transplant follow-up on March 12, 2020, and excluded transplants performed from March 13, 2020 to June 12, 2020 (the "carve-out"). This study examined the carve-out's impact, and the effect of additionally censoring COVID-19 deaths, on first-year posttransplant outcomes for transplants from July 2018 through December 2020. Program-specific hazard ratios (HRs) for graft failure and death estimated under two alternative scenarios were compared with published HRs: (1) the carve-out was removed; (2) the carve-out was retained, but deaths due to COVID-19 were additionally censored. The HRs estimated by censoring COVID-19 deaths were highly correlated with those estimated with the carve-out alone (r2  = .96). Removal of the carve-out resulted in greater variation in HRs while remaining highly correlated (r2  = .82); however, little geographic impact of the carve-out was observed. The carve-out increased average HR in the Northwest by 0.049; carve-out plus censoring reduced average HR in the Midwest by 0.009. Other regions of the country were not significantly affected. Thus, the current COVID-19 carve-out does not appear to impart substantial bias based on the region of the country.

Disparities in Delaware Caregiver Beliefs about the COVID-19 Vaccine for their Children.

Objective: To describe sociodemographic disparities in caregiver beliefs about the COVID-19 vaccine for their children. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study, linking caregiver-reported data to geocoded sociodemographic data from child EHRs. Caregivers of children receiving care in a Delaware pediatric healthcare system were invited to complete a survey about COVID-19 vaccine beliefs from March 19 to April 16, 2021. Results: 1499 caregivers participated (18% Black, 11% Hispanic, 32% public insurance, 12% rural). 54% of caregivers intended to vaccinate their children, while 34% were unsure and 12% would not. Caregivers of younger children (aOR 3.70, CI 2.36-5.79), Black children (aOR 2.11, CI 1.50-2.96), and from disadvantaged communities (aOR 1.59, CI 1.05-2.42) were more likely to be unsure and not vaccinate their children. Caregivers from rural communities were more likely not to vaccinate their children (aOR 2.51, CI 1.56-4.05). Fewer caregivers of younger children, Black children, and from disadvantaged communities believed in the safety or efficacy of the vaccines (p < 0.001), while fewer caregivers of younger children and from rural communities believed in their children's susceptibility to COVID-19 or risk of getting severe disease from COVID-19 (p < 0.05). While the majority (72%) of caregivers were influenced by health experts, fewer from communities of color and disadvantaged communities were (p<0.001). Conclusions: Caregivers of younger children and from communities of color, rural communities, and disadvantaged communities in Delaware expressed more COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Policy implications: This study explores beliefs of different communities in Delaware, which are important to tailoring public health messaging and strategies to increase vaccine uptake in these communities.

An Informed Approach to Vaccine Hesitancy and Uptake in Children.

The tremendous success of vaccination programs worldwide over the past two centuries has produced a paradoxical effect whereby a lack of exposure to the devastating consequences of vaccine-preventable diseases has created an environment in which fear of the side effects of vaccines can overshadow concerns about the impact of the diseases they are meant to prevent. As vaccine hesitancy grew over the past twenty years, states passed legislation, such as non-medical exemptions from vaccination, that have cultivated pockets of poor vaccine uptake allowing for the return of vaccine-preventable diseases such as measles and pertussis. The COVID-19 pandemic has further intensified mistrust of vaccines, impacting both the reasons for vaccine hesitancy and the attributes of vaccine hesitant parents. Because unimmunized children are at increased risk for vaccine-preventable diseases and associated cancers, as well as reduced access to adequate healthcare, they are a particularly vulnerable population warranting special protections and support. A comprehensive approach to combat vaccine hesitancy and promote uptake should include a focus on evidence-based initiatives at the legislative, practice, and provider levels. These strategies can substantively inform health policy, from upstream legislation strengthening school mandates and eliminating non-medical exemptions to downstream policies that impact provider conversations about immunization.

Medical factors associated with caregiver intention to vaccinate their children against COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: To describe medical factors that are associated with caregiver intention to vaccinate their children against COVID-19. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study of families receiving primary care in a mid-Atlantic pediatric healthcare system, linking caregiver-reported data from a survey completed March 19 to April 16, 2021 to comprehensive data from the child's EHR. RESULTS: 513 families were included (28% Black, 16% Hispanic, 44% public insurance, 21% rural, child age range 0-21 years). 44% of caregivers intended to vaccinate their children against COVID-19, while 41% were not sure and 15% would not. After adjusting for socio-demographics, the only medical factors that were associated with caregiver COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy were caregiver COVID-19 vaccination status at the time of the survey (aOR 3.0 if the caregiver did not receive the vaccine compared to those who did, 95% CI 1.7-5.3) and child seasonal influenza immunization history (aOR 3.3 if the child had not received the influenza vaccine in the 2020-2021 season compared to those who did, 95% CI 2.0-5.4). Other medical factors, including family medical experiences with COVID-19, other child immunization history, child health conditions like obesity and asthma, and family engagement with the healthcare system were not associated with caregiver intention to vaccinate their children against COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights important factors, such as general attitudes towards vaccines and understanding of COVID-19 morbidity risk factors, that healthcare providers should address when having conversations with families about the COVID-19 vaccine.

Medical Factors Associated with Caregiver Intention to Vaccinate their Children Against COVID-19

Objective To describe medical factors that are associated with caregiver intention to vaccinate their children against COVID-19. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study of families receiving primary care in a mid-Atlantic pediatric healthcare system, linking caregiver-reported data from a survey completed March 19 to April 16, 2021 to comprehensive data from the child’s EHR. Results 513 families were included (28% Black, 16% Hispanic, 44% public insurance, 21% rural, child age range 0-21 years). 44% of caregivers intended to vaccinate their children against COVID-19, while 41% were not sure and 15% would not. After adjusting for socio-demographics, the only medical factors that were associated with caregiver COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy were caregiver COVID-19 vaccination status at the time of the survey (aOR 3.0 if the caregiver did not receive the vaccine compared to those who did, 95% CI 1.7-5.3) and child seasonal influenza immunization history (aOR 3.3 if the child had not received the influenza vaccine in the 2020-2021 season compared to those who did, 95% CI 2.0-5.4). Other medical factors, including family medical experiences with COVID-19, other child immunization history, child health conditions like obesity and asthma, and family engagement with the healthcare system were not associated with caregiver intention to vaccinate their children against COVID-19. Conclusions This study highlights important factors, such as general attitudes towards vaccines and understanding of COVID-19 morbidity risk factors, that healthcare providers should address when having conversations with families about the COVID-19 vaccine.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the size of US transplant waiting lists.

BACKGROUND: More patients are waitlisted for solid organs than transplants are performed each year. The COVID-19 pandemic immediately increased waitlist mortality and decreased transplants and listings. METHODS: To calculate the number of candidate listings after the pandemic began and short-term changes that may affect waiting time, we conducted a Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients surveillance study from January 1, 2012 to February 28, 2021. RESULTS: The number of candidates on the liver waitlist continued a steady decline that began before the pandemic. Numbers of candidates on the kidney, heart, and lung waitlists decreased dramatically. More than 3000 fewer candidates were awaiting a kidney transplant on March 7, 2021, than on March 8, 2020. Listings and removals decreased for each solid organ beginning in March 2020. The number of heart and lung listings returned to equal or above that of removals. Listings for kidney transplant, which is often less urgent than heart and lung transplant, remain below numbers of removals. Removals due to transplant decreased for all organs, while removals due to death increased for only kidneys. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence of the predicted surge in listings for solid organ transplant with a plateau or control of the pandemic.

Liver involvement in children with SARS-COV-2 infection: Two distinct clinical phenotypes caused by the same virus.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) associated acute liver injury (ALI) has been linked to poor outcomes in adults. Here we compare characteristics in children with elevated ALT (E-ALT) in two distinct manifestations of the infection, multisystem inflammatory syndrome-children (MIS-C) and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: This is a retrospective study of patients ≤21 years of age with positive for SARS-CoV-2 PCR. E-ALT was defined as alanine aminotransferase (ALT) > 40 U/L. Bivariate analysis and multivariable logistic regression were obtained to describe differences in children with and without E-ALT in COVID-19 and MIS-C. RESULTS: E-ALT was detected in 36% of the 291 patients; 31% with COVID-19, and 51% with MIS-C. E-ALT in COVID-19 was associated with obesity (P < .001), immunocompromised status (P = .04), and chronic liver disease (P = .01). In the regression models, E-ALT in COVID-19 was associated with higher c-reactive protein (OR 1.08, P = .01) after adjusting for common independent predictors. Children with E-ALT and MIS-C were more often boys (P = .001), Hispanic (P = .04), or Black (P < .001). In MIS-C, male gender (OR 5.3, P = .02) and Black race (OR 4.4, P = .04) were associated with increased odds of E-ALT. Children with E-ALT in both cohorts had significantly higher multiorgan dysfunction, longer hospitalization, and ICU stay. Children with MIS-C had 2.3-fold increased risk of E-ALT compared to COVID-19. No association was found between E-ALT and mortality. CONCLUSION: E-ALT with SARS-CoV-2 presents as elevated transaminases without hepatic synthetic dysfunction. Patients with either manifestation of SARS-CoV-2 infection and E-ALT experienced more severe disease.

Mortality among solid organ waitlist candidates during COVID-19 in the United States.

We examined the effects of COVID-19 on solid organ waiting list mortality in the United States and compared effects across patient demographics (e.g., race, age, and sex) and donation service areas. Three separate piecewise exponential survival models estimated for each solid organ the overall, demographic-specific, and donation service area-specific differences in the hazard of waitlist mortality before and after the national emergency declaration on March 13, 2020. Kidney waiting list mortality was higher after than before the national emergency (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.37; 95% CI, 1.23-1.52). The hazard of waitlist mortality was not significantly different before and after COVID-19 for liver (aHR, 0.94), pancreas (aHR, 1.01), lung (aHR, 1.00), and heart (aHR, 0.94). Kidney candidates had notable variability in differences across donation service areas (aHRs, New York City, 2.52; New Jersey, 1.84; and Michigan, 1.56). The only demographic group with increased waiting list mortality were Blacks versus Whites (aHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.07-1.86) for kidney candidates. The first 10 weeks after the declaration of a national emergency had a heterogeneous effect on waitlist mortality rate, varying by geography and ethnicity. This heterogeneity will complicate comparisons of transplant program performance during COVID-19.

A minimal model for household-based testing and tracing in epidemics.

In a previous work (Huberet al.2020Phys. Biol.17065010), we discussed virus transmission dynamics modified by a uniform clustering of contacts in the population: close contacts within households and more distant contacts between households. In this paper, we discuss testing and tracing in such a stratified population. We propose a minimal tracing strategy consisting of random testing of the entire population plus full testing of the households of those persons found positive. We provide estimates of testing frequency for this strategy to work.

A Descriptive and Quantitative Immunohistochemical Study Demonstrating a Spectrum of Platelet Recruitment Patterns Across Pulmonary Infections Including COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary platelet deposition and microangiopathy are increasingly recognized components of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection. Thrombosis is a known component of sepsis and disseminated intravascular coagulation. We sought to compare the level of platelet deposition in the pulmonary vasculature in cases of confirmed COVID-19 infection to other lung injuries and infections. METHODS: Immunohistochemistry was performed on 27 autopsy cases and 2 surgical pathology cases targeting CD61. Multiple cases of normal lung, diffuse alveolar damage, COVID-19, influenza, and bacterial and fungal infections, as well as one case of pulmonary emboli, were included. The levels of CD61 staining were compared quantitatively in the autopsy cases, and patterns of staining were described. RESULTS: Nearly all specimens exhibited an increase in CD61 staining relative to control lung tissue. The area of CD61 staining in COVID-19 infection was higher than influenza but still comparable to many other infectious diseases. Cases of aspiration pneumonia, Staphylococcus aureus infection, and blastomycosis exhibited the highest levels of CD61 staining. CONCLUSIONS: Platelet deposition is a phenomenon common to many pulmonary insults. A spectrum of staining patterns was observed, suggestive of pathogen-specific mechanisms of platelet deposition. Further study into the mechanisms driving platelet deposition in pulmonary injuries and infections is warranted.